PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
September 30 3%+0.1ptLíder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
69 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
2,7 mil €
Liquidez
38,4 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.3 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-4.8 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
14 jul 26, 23:50 UTC30 sept 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Houthis take a qualifying military action against Israel by the specified date, 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time (IDT, GMT+3).
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the Houthis, that directly impacts Israeli ground territory.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.