Houthi military action against Israel by which date?
Geopolítica
PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: April 15
Datos de resolución no verificados
Este resultado se infiere o no está respaldado por evidencia de liquidación de nivel proveedor.
Probabilidad implícita actual
April 15 100%+74.0pt
Calidad del mercado
7 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconocidaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 154 días
Desactualizado20 mar 26, 14:2830 abr 26, 0:00
Tendencias
99%
100%
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
- Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
- Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Houthi military action against Israel by which date??
- Polymarket cotiza April 15 al 100% a fecha de 31 de marzo de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Houthi military action against Israel by which date??
- Está previsto que Houthi military action against Israel by which date? se resuelva el 30 de abril de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Houthi military action against Israel by which date??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Houthis initiate a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".