PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
<25 46.5%-0.1ptLíder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
76 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
665,2 €
Liquidez
50,3 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-18.2 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
26 ago 26, 22:15 UTC30 sept 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 7?
PolymarketAvg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?
PolymarketTraffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiBab el-Mandeb Strait closed by which date?
FutuurWill the 7-day moving average of ships passing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait ever fall below 15 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait that IMF Portwatch reports for September 30, 2026.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been published.
- If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
- In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections.