PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 1 sept 2026, 21:00 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
September 30 10%+2.0ptLíder entre 19 opciones
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
112,5 mil €
Liquidez
28,8 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
993
Cambio 7d
+3.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado4 may 26, 23:521 oct 26, 3:59
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
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Reglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace.
- A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace.
- Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify.
- Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
2 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia ponderada por liquidez de CoinRithm para September 30 es del 10%. Las cotizaciones difieren en unos 40 puntos porcentuales entre las plataformas más alejadas.
Referencia CoinRithm September 30 10% · 2 plataformas · 40 pt de dispersion entre venues
Mercados abiertos
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POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
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- Yes-0.3pt3%
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- September 30+3.0pt14%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Israel closes its airspace by which date??
- Polymarket cotiza September 30 al 10% a fecha de 1 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Israel closes its airspace by which date??
- Está previsto que Israel closes its airspace by which date? se resuelva el 1 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Israel closes its airspace by which date??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Israel closes its airspace by which date??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Limitless.