LimitlessComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosAviso de calidad de datosSin precio significativo
Datos del 1 sept 2026, 3:00 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
August 31 50%
Calidad del mercado
30 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconocidaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 minutos
25 ago 26, 13:201 oct 26, 3:59
Tendencias
Reglas
the named outcome · the named outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace.
- A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace.
- Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify.
- Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
2 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia ponderada por liquidez de CoinRithm para September 30 es del 10%. Las cotizaciones difieren en unos 40 puntos porcentuales entre las plataformas más alejadas.
Referencia CoinRithm September 30 10% · 2 plataformas · 40 pt de dispersion entre venues
- También disponible en Polymarket — Israel closes its airspace by...? · September 30 10%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Israel closes its airspace by which date??
- Limitless cotiza August 31 al 50% a fecha de 1 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Israel closes its airspace by which date??
- Está previsto que Israel closes its airspace by which date? se resuelva el 1 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Israel closes its airspace by which date??
- Limitless liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: the named outcome · the named outcome. <p>This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Israel closes its airspace by which date??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Polymarket.