PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
5-10 46.6%-1.0ptLíder entre 7 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
71 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
682,5 €
Liquidez
48,2 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
2.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+10.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
27 ago 26, 22:58 UTC30 sept 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketOn September 27th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to actual normal of 100 ships per day during Trump's presidency.
Manifold MarketsWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
KalshiReglas
This market will resolve according to the finalized 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for September 30, 2026.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been finalized.