MyriadProbabilidad implícita actual
Sí 7.5%-0.2%
Calidad del mercado
40 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
438,3 €
Liquidez
1,8 mil €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
-
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 minutos
12 ene 26, 16:0130 sept 26, 23:59
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Yes8%
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**Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period**: From the publication date through September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after market close, or earlier if the outcome is reached.
- **Resolution Criteria:**
- - Resolves to "**Yes**" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern within the Market Period. - Resolves to “**No**” if not.
- **Resolution Details:**
- - A potential “Yes” resolution requires credible sources to confirm that the core institutions of the Islamic Republic—such as the Office of the Supreme Leader, the Guardian Council, or IRGC authority under clerical control—have been dismantled, rendered inoperative, or replaced by a fundamentally different system of governance, or that they have otherwise lost de facto control over most of Iran’s population.