Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 95.7%
Pronosticadores
77
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado4 oct 23, 19:30 UTC1 ene 27, 20:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Ukraine take back control of Mariupol while Putin is in power?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump take back the Panama Canal?
KalshiWill Trump take back the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsWill democrats take back the white house in 2028?
Manifold MarketsNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketReglas
Resolves to YES if there is broad consensus that the armed forces of Ukraine control all of Melitopol within its official administrative limits, for at least 24 consecutive hours, at any point before the end of 2026.
- If that has not happened by the 1st of January, 2027 (local time), it resolves to NO.
- In case there is any ambiguity at that point as to whether the city is fully under Ukrainian control or contested, a delay of 7 days will be added to ascertain what the exact status of the city was on the last 24 hours of 2026.
Mercados abiertos
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETRussia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Yes+5.0pt69.3%
- No-5.0pt30.7%
- Volumen total
- 630 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 145,7 mil €
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt29%
- October 3116%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 resultados más
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt13%
- December5%
- July0%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 21,8 M €
POLYMARKETWill Russia capture Orikhiv by which date?
- December 31-3.5pt33%
- September 30-1.9pt2%
- Volumen total
- 292 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 36,4 mil €
POLYMARKETWill Russia enter Dobropillia by which date?
- December 31+6.5pt90%
- October 31+12.5pt73%
- September 30+7.0pt35%
+6 resultados más
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms-3.4pt14%
- Save the Children-2.9pt9%
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
+28 resultados más
- Which parties will win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?
- How many seats will New People (NL) win in the next Russian legislative election?
- Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Moscow?
- How many seats will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win in the next Russian legislative election?
- Russia Election: United Russia (ER) Vote Share?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by which date?
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Ukraine take back Melitopol by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 96% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Ukraine take back Melitopol by the end of 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Ukraine take back Melitopol by the end of 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Ukraine take back Melitopol by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves to YES if there is broad consensus that the armed forces of Ukraine control all of Melitopol within its official administrative limits, for at least 24 consecutive hours, at any point before the end of 2026.