Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 66.8%
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado9 sept 26, 12:55 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the Democratic Party's nominee wins the 2028 United States presidential election.
- It resolves to NO if any other candidate (Republican, third-party, or independent) wins the election.
- The outcome will be determined by the official certification of the Electoral College votes by the U.S. Congress, typically scheduled for January 2029.
- In the event of a contingent election in the House of Representatives, the winner of that contingent election will determine the resolution.
- Reliable major news sources reporting the certified winner—such as the Associated Press or Reuters—will be used for verification.
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1117,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 resultados más
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will democrats take back the white house in 2028??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 67% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will democrats take back the white house in 2028??
- Está previsto que Will democrats take back the white house in 2028? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will democrats take back the white house in 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria