Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 76.1%
Pronosticadores
24
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado19 feb 23, 4:45 UTC31 dic 31, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Turkey be a member state of the EU on January 1st 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill Hungary be a member state of the EU on January 1st 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine be a member state of the EU at EOY 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
PolymarketWill Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketReglas
Los criterios de resolución aún no están disponibles para este mercado. Las próximas actualizaciones completarán esta sección cuando se hayan guardado las reglas de la fuente.
Mercados abiertos
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.3pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.3pt3%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 22,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 617,8 mil €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.7pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No86%
- Yes14%
- Volumen total
- 846,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 97,8 mil €
POLYMARKETMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- AfD+1.5pt79%
- SPD21%
- CDU0%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 433 mil €
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson76.7%
- Ulf Kristersson21.4%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.7pt1%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Berlin State Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: S Vote Share?
- AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Vote Share?
- Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Turkey become a member state of the EU?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 76% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Turkey become a member state of the EU?
- Está previsto que Will Turkey become a member state of the EU se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2031.