Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 57.2%
Pronosticadores
38
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 horas
Desactualizado30 may 24, 15:38 UTC31 dic 35, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
Resolves YES if any inhabited Israeli settlements or outposts are present in the current territory of the Gaza Strip on 31 December 2035.
- The legality of these settlements or outposts under Israeli law does not matter for this question to resolve YES.
- Update 2025-08-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Military outposts are excluded.
- Only civilian Israeli settlements or outposts count.
- If a military outpost is later converted into a civilian settlement/outpost, it counts only if it is inhabited and present in Gaza on 2035-12-31.
- Update 2025-08-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Edge cases (e.g., a single tent/unauthorized encampment): Counts only if reliable sources classify it as an Israeli outpost.
Mercados abiertos
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- September 30+1.0pt80%
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- July 18+0.3pt100%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will there be Israeli settlements in Gaza on Dec 31st, 2035??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 57% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will there be Israeli settlements in Gaza on Dec 31st, 2035??
- Está previsto que Will there be Israeli settlements in Gaza on Dec 31st, 2035? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2035.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will there be Israeli settlements in Gaza on Dec 31st, 2035??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if any inhabited Israeli settlements or outposts are present in the current territory of the Gaza Strip on 31 December 2035.