PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 92%+0.5pt
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
10,2 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
7.0% / 9.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-0.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
5 nov 25, 19:08 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Foreign intervention in Gaza by which date?
PolymarketWill Gaza be in the news in 2026 [Google trends]?
Manifold MarketsWill the IDF fully withdraw from Gaza by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the USA be given control of the Gaza Strip by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump visit Gaza in 2026?
PolymarketUkraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify.
- Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
- US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
- High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercados abiertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 22,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 470,8 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volumen total
- 35,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 100,1 mil €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 resultados más
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 92% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027??
- Está previsto que U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.