Will there be another significant accident in a nuclear power plant before 2035?
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Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 9:52 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 78.7%
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Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado21 dic 25, 22:41 UTC1 ene 35, 22:33 UTC
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FutuurReglas
This market resolves YES if a nuclear power plant accident rated INES Level 7 (the highest severity level on the International Nuclear Event Scale) occurs before January 1, 2035.
- To date, only Chernobyl (1986) and Fukushima Daiichi (2011) have been rated INES level 7.
- Resolution will be determined by official IAEA classification.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Nuclear_and_Radiological_Event_Scale
