Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualSí 52.6%
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Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado18 may 23, 22:12 UTC21 abr 00, 5:59 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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FutuurReglas
A violent revolution for this question is defined as a definable movement pitting the populus against the government.
- This would involve the participation of at least 1% of the populace.
- A civil war is defined as an armed malitia or state backed group representing at least 1 million citicens going to war with the US military.
- The specifics of these definitions may be changed within a few weeks of creating the market by participants request , but my goal is to to keep them in line as much as possible with their actual definitions.