Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 70.3%
Pronosticadores
136
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado7 feb 23, 18:40 UTC1 ene 30, 8:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
will any AI become a citizen of any internationally recognized country before 2030?
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Manifold MarketsYemen fragmented into 2 or more internationally recognized countries by EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketTrump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
PolymarketReglas
Must be largely undisputed.
- The most recent one as of market creation was South Sudan in 2011.
Mercados abiertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+2.8pt97%
- September 25-0.5pt86%
- September 3078%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 947,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 688,2 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt60%
- October 31+1.0pt34%
- September 30-2.0pt9%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volumen total
- 58,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 289,1 mil €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 resultados más
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31+2.0pt21%
- October 31+4.0pt14%
- September 30+0.3pt3%
+9 resultados más
POLYMARKETWhere will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- No Meeting by September 30-0.8pt87.9%
- USA+1.3pt11.1%
- Pakistan-0.5pt1%
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Houthis enter Aden by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Israel military action against Yemen by which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will there be a new internationally recognized country before 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 70% a fecha de 19 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will there be a new internationally recognized country before 2030??
- Está previsto que Will there be a new internationally recognized country before 2030? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will there be a new internationally recognized country before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Must be largely undisputed.