Will the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by December 31, 2026?
GeopolíticaOne-OffEspacio2mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 79.7%
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4
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado31 mar 26, 16:22 UTC31 dic 26, 5:00 UTC
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KalshiReglas
This market resolves YES if, by December 31, 2026, Myanmar's military junta has conducted confirmed airstrikes targeting rare earth mining infrastructure in Kachin State.
- YES if by December 31, 2026:
- Credible reporting confirms junta aerial bombardment of RE mining sites, processing facilities, or RE-specific transport infrastructure in Chipwi/Pangwa/Momeik
- No confirmed airstrikes on RE mining sites by December 31, 2026
- Airstrikes occurred near but not targeting mining operations
- Resolution sources (priority order):
