¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Myanmar's junta still be in control of Myanmar through 2026??

Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 94% a fecha de 31 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Myanmar's junta still be in control of Myanmar through 2026??

Está previsto que Will Myanmar's junta still be in control of Myanmar through 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.

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Pronóstico comunitario actual

Sí 94%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 16 horas

Desactualizado

2 dic 25, 2:29 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

Resolves to yes if the current military government still controls the capital of Naypyidaw on Dec. 31, 2026.

Resolves to no if they lose control of the capital to another faction.
Resolves to no if they hold elections in 2026 that are deemed free and fair by international observers and/or the mainstream Western media AND the elected positions hold substantive power.
If Myanmar has a limited democracy like before the 2021 coup, the question resolve to no.