Will the following events all occur by December 1, 2026?
GeopolíticaOne-OffEntretenimientoRussia / Ukraine2mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 99%
Pronosticadores
10
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado18 jul 26, 16:24 UTC30 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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This forecast will resolve YES only if all of the following conditions are met:
- On 12 August 2026, the Russia–Ukraine war officially ends through a peace agreement signed in Kharkiv.
- By 1 December 2026, Russia is replaced by a newly established Eurasian Union formed together with post-Soviet states.
- Relations between the United States and the new Eurasian Union have measurably improved compared with earlier in 2026.
- On 1 December 2026, the final broadcast in Azerbaijan is the film Stalin's Head.
- On the same day in Russia, private television channels broadcast Tri Bogatyry i Morskoy Tsar, children's channels broadcast episode 72 of Skazochny Patrol, and Russia's Patriotic March is played.
Mercados abiertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
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+3 resultados más
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- Volumen 24h
- 667,5 mil €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
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- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 resultados más
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- Volumen 24h
- 257,7 mil €
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- December 31+3.0pt22%
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- December 31-0.3pt96%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the following events all occur by December 1, 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 99% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the following events all occur by December 1, 2026??
- Está previsto que Will the following events all occur by December 1, 2026? se resuelva el 30 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the following events all occur by December 1, 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This forecast will resolve YES only if all of the following conditions are met: