Which of the following 10 events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order?
One-OffSociety & Culture
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Human walks on Mars 74.2%Líder entre 10 opciones
Pronosticadores
49
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado28 dic 23, 19:04 UTC2 ene 50, 4:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
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KalshiReglas
Will resolve each event to a percentage as they happen, starting with 10% and working upward as follows:
- 1st event: 10% (happens soonest)
- 2nd event: 20%
- 10th event: 100% (happens latest)
- If there is only one unresolved answer left, it will be resolved to 100% YES even if that event does not actually happen, since we could we waiting for a very long time.
Mercados abiertos
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-2.0pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.0pt30.3%
- <40-5.5pt12.1%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 28,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
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- Yes-2.0pt2%
- Volumen total
- 6,8 mil €
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- 5,8 mil €
KALSHIWhat will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
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- Canada / Canadian89%
- Tariff86%
+13 resultados más
- Volumen total
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- Volumen 24h
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- No82%
- Yes18%
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- Volumen 24h
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POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which of the following 10 events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Human walks on Mars al 74% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which of the following 10 events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order??
- Está previsto que Which of the following 10 events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2050.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which of the following 10 events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Will resolve each event to a percentage as they happen, starting with 10% and working upward as follows: