Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 89.8%
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15
Tipo de pregunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 3 minutos
18 nov 25, 16:43 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
The authors of If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies: Why Superhuman AI Would Kill Us All are calling for a march in Washington DC (the "Don't Build It march") to call for an international treaty to ban the development of Artificial Superintelligence.
- The organizers are collecting pledges with the wording "If 100,000 other people also pledged to march in DC, I will attend that march", with the stated intention of only scheduling the march if they receive 100,000 such pledges.
- Will the march happen before the end of 2026?
- I will not bet on this market.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the Don't Build It March happen by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 90% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the Don't Build It March happen by EOY 2026??
- Está previsto que Will the Don't Build It March happen by EOY 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the Don't Build It March happen by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The authors of If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies: Why Superhuman AI Would Kill Us All are calling for a march in Washington DC (the "Don't Build It march") to call for an international treaty to ban the development of Artificial Superintelligence.