PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
40-64 42.9%Líder entre 10 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
81 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
24,1 mil €
Liquidez
61,5 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
7 sept 26, 16:07 UTC12 sept 26, 16:00 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
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KalshiReglas
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 10 12:00 PM ET to September 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
- The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.