Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 87%
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado20 ago 25, 18:25 UTC31 dic 26, 18:56 UTC
Tendencias
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolves YES if Elon Musk posts a message on X (formerly Twitter) containing the exact phrase "Manifold Markets" before January 1, 2027.
- Case-insensitive.
- The post must be publicly posted by Elon Musk’s official account @elonmusk.
- Retweets do not count.
- I will also accept "Manifoldmarkets" or any links to Manifold containing "Manifold.markets" in the tweet.
- I will NOT accept any other variants, such as "Manifold, markets" or "Manifold market".
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Elon Musk tweets "Manifold Markets" before 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 87% a fecha de 7 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Elon Musk tweets "Manifold Markets" before 2027??
- Está previsto que Elon Musk tweets "Manifold Markets" before 2027? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Elon Musk tweets "Manifold Markets" before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if Elon Musk posts a message on X (formerly Twitter) containing the exact phrase "Manifold Markets" before January 1, 2027.