Which year will legal action first be taken against Manifold Markets by any governmental entity ?
RegulaciónCrime & Justice3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualOther 84%Líder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores
24
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+3.2 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado29 abr 24, 0:48 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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PolymarketReglas
Legal action includes a government entity suing or fining Manifold.
- At the start of each new year the previous year will resolve NO and a new option will be added to the market (market end date will also be pushed forward by one year).
- When the first fine or legal proceeding happens all outstanding answers will resolve NO except for the current year which will resolve YES.
Mercados abiertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No84.2%
- Yes15.8%
- Volumen total
- 12,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 89,2 mil €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+7.0pt45%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+1.0pt33%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-4.0pt32%
+7 resultados más
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,4 M €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 2027+4.0pt98%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-2.0pt95%
- Before Jan 1, 2027-3.0pt93%
+9 resultados más
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- December 31+39.0pt89%
- October 31+24.5pt76%
- September 30+16.0pt63%
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+4.0pt67%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt50%
- Before May 1, 2027+1.0pt50%
+8 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which year will legal action first be taken against Manifold Markets by any governmental entity ??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Other al 84% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which year will legal action first be taken against Manifold Markets by any governmental entity ??
- Está previsto que Which year will legal action first be taken against Manifold Markets by any governmental entity ? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which year will legal action first be taken against Manifold Markets by any governmental entity ??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Legal action includes a government entity suing or fining Manifold.