Will Russia be added to the Financial Action Task Force blacklist before 2050?
GeopolíticaOne-OffOriente MedioRusia / Ucrania
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualSí 50.9%
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado16 oct 24, 11:20 UTC31 dic 50, 19:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
As of the creation of this market (16 Oct 2024), the list includes three countries: North Korea, Iran, and Myanmar.
- It resolves YES as soon as Russia is added.
- For example, if Russia is added to the FATF black list and then removed later, this resolves YES anyway.
- If Russia ceases to exist, I will judge based on the period when Russia did exist.
- I will use my best judgement to determine if a given country is Russia or not.
- For example, if Russia turns into many countries without a single clear successor, I will judge that Russia does not exist anymore, but if some national republics gain independence but otherwise Russia continues to exist (there is a clear single successor), I will judge that Russia still exists.
