Will Poland acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
GeopolíticaOne-OffMiddle EastChinaLatin AmericaTecnología4aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 94.9%
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30
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binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado10 mar 24, 0:01 UTC1 mar 31, 22:59 UTC
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Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Poland has acquired at least one nuclear weapon before January 1st 2031.
- This device must be under the sovereign control of the Polish State, and they must have the ability to use it independently.
- Different countries:
- @/RemNi/will-japan-acquire-nuclear-weapons
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Poland acquire nuclear weapons before 2031??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 95% a fecha de 18 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Poland acquire nuclear weapons before 2031??
- Está previsto que Will Poland acquire nuclear weapons before 2031? se resuelva el 1 de marzo de 2031.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Poland acquire nuclear weapons before 2031??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Poland has acquired at least one nuclear weapon before January 1st 2031.