Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?
0.5 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsGeopolíticaMiddle EastChina3m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 92%+0.5pt
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
8,6 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
6.0% / 10.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
2 sept 26, 16:39 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers before Xi Jinping visits the United States.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If neither a qualifying announcement nor a Xi Jinping visit to the United States occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees).
- An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 92% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US??
- Está previsto que Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.