Will Nicolás Maduro be convicted in a U.S. federal court before January 1, 2027?
GeopolíticaOne-OffLatin AmericaCrime & Justice3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 87.8%
Pronosticadores
15
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado15 ene 26, 0:08 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Resolution criteria
- Maduro was arraigned in U.S. federal court on January 5, 2026, with the next court date set for March 17, 2026.
- This market resolves YES if Maduro is convicted on any of the charges in the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York before January 1, 2027.
- Resolution will be determined by official court records and public announcements from the U.S. Department of Justice or the court.
- The market resolves NO if Maduro is acquitted, the charges are dismissed, or the trial does not conclude by the deadline.
- Maduro faces charges of narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, possession of machine guns and destructive devices, and conspiracy to possess machine guns and destructive devices.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Nicolás Maduro be convicted in a U.S. federal court before January 1, 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 88% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Nicolás Maduro be convicted in a U.S. federal court before January 1, 2027??
- Está previsto que Will Nicolás Maduro be convicted in a U.S. federal court before January 1, 2027? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Nicolás Maduro be convicted in a U.S. federal court before January 1, 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria