Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 81%
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 53 minutos
Retrasado24 feb 24, 1:11 UTC2 ene 00, 4:59 UTC
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Will Israel still exist at the beginning of 2032?
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PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketReglas
Resolves NO if at any point between now and 2100 Israel doesn't exist.
- Successor states count.
- I will resolve NO if it loses more than 50% of its Jewish population to emigration or expulsion within a 10-year window, e.g. if it's invaded by a neighboring country and left officially intact, but is no longer serving its intended purpose.
