Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 74.2%
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado17 may 25, 7:02 UTC1 ene 00, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:Wikipedia_will_exist_in_the_far_future
- If it only exists in an archival form, historical museum exhibit, or similar, this resolves NO.
- In order to resolve YES it must exist in something like its present function, of being an active information resource.
- This is very subjective, don't bet if you don't trust my judgement.
- Update 2025-05-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * A major split (with controversy over the real Wikipedia) could resolve YES, but not if it splits too many times.
- If only a relatively small group is allowed to edit Wikipedia (even if it's online and updated), this market will resolve NO.
Mercados abiertos
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
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KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Wikipedia still exist in 2100??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 74% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Wikipedia still exist in 2100??
- Está previsto que Will Wikipedia still exist in 2100? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2100.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Wikipedia still exist in 2100??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:Wikipedia_will_exist_in_the_far_future