Will China officially acknowledge its new sixth-gen tailless stealth fighter prototypes (J-36 / J-50) before 2027
GeopolíticaOne-OffChina3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 51.1%
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Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado7 mar 26, 13:49 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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[image]In December 2024, videos and photos of two previously unknown tailless stealth combat aircraft emerged on Chinese social media: a large triple-engine design (unofficially called the Chengdu J-36) and a smaller twin-engine design (unofficially called the Shenyang J-50 or J-XDS).
- These are widely assessed by Western analysts as "sixth-generation" fighter prototypes.
- As of March 2026 the Chinese government, Ministry of National Defense, and PLA have issued no official statements, names, specifications, or confirmations about these specific aircraft.
- This market resolves on whether the Chinese government provides an official public acknowledgment of these new stealth jet models (or the associated sixth-generation program) before 2027.
- The market resolves YES if, at any time on or before 31 December 2026, there is clear, verifiable evidence that the Chinese government has publicly and explicitly acknowledged the existence or development of these specific new stealth fighter prototypes.
- Acceptable evidence includes:
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will China officially acknowledge its new sixth-gen tailless stealth fighter prototypes (J-36 / J-50) before 2027?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 51% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will China officially acknowledge its new sixth-gen tailless stealth fighter prototypes (J-36 / J-50) before 2027?
- Está previsto que Will China officially acknowledge its new sixth-gen tailless stealth fighter prototypes (J-36 / J-50) before 2027 se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will China officially acknowledge its new sixth-gen tailless stealth fighter prototypes (J-36 / J-50) before 2027?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: [image]In December 2024, videos and photos of two previously unknown tailless stealth combat aircraft emerged on Chinese social media: a large triple-engine design (unofficially called the Chengdu J-36) and a smaller twin-engine design (unofficially called the Shenyang J-50 or J-XDS).