Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 83.6%
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado3 nov 23, 16:20 UTC31 dic 35, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Ukraine bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Turkey bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill North Korea bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketReglas
Resolves YES if mil-industry/political media reports the entracne of a sixth-generation fighter into full service.
- Projects to watch:
- GCAP (by 2035)
- FCAS (by 2040)
- F/A-XX (2030s)
- NGAD (2030s)
Mercados abiertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 22,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 581,3 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 resultados más
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volumen total
- 55,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 96,8 mil €
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- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will a country operate a sixth-generation fighter by EOY 2035??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 84% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will a country operate a sixth-generation fighter by EOY 2035??
- Está previsto que Will a country operate a sixth-generation fighter by EOY 2035? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2035.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will a country operate a sixth-generation fighter by EOY 2035??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if mil-industry/political media reports the entracne of a sixth-generation fighter into full service.