Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 81%
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado24 dic 25, 7:08 UTC31 dic 35, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
How many US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30?
PolymarketWill China have 4 aircraft carriers by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the US Navy commission more than three Gerald R. Ford-class aircraft carriers?
Manifold MarketsWill the US Navy commission more than five Gerald R. Ford-class aircraft carriers?
Manifold MarketsWill the US Navy commission more than four Gerald R. Ford-class aircraft carriers?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketReglas
https://x.com/RyanFedasiuk/status/2003634067997409613?s=20
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if China launches nine or more aircraft carriers by December 31, 2035. "Launch" is defined as the vessel having its official launch ceremony, not the date of the dry dock flooding or when it is commissioned into service.
- Resolution will be verified through official Chinese state media announcements.
- As of 2025, China has three active aircraft carriers: the Liaoning, Shandong, and Fujian.
- A fourth carrier, the Type 004, has been under construction since 2024 and is expected to feature nuclear propulsion.