Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 95.9%
Pronosticadores
85
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado3 mar 24, 15:56 UTC31 dic 26, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan during the leadership of the person in power after Xi Jinping?
Manifold MarketsWill China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump is elected in 2024, will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketWho will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
PolymarketReglas
This question will be resolved as 'yes' if AP, Reuters, and AFP unanimously report that the People's Republic of China has launched a full-scale invasion of Taiwan.
- If one or more of those agencies cease to exist, the reporting from the remaining agency(ies) will be considered sufficient.