Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable
Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 87.4%
Pronosticadores
110
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado
20 may 24, 17:59 UTC16 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Resultado24hProbabilidad
Reglas
The International Criminal Court’s chief prosecutor is seeking an arrest warrant for Benjamin Netanyahu.
Will Netanyahu ever be arrested, detained or tried for war crimes or crimes against humanity?
It will not be sufficient for this market if an arrest is made by someone without the power to enforce the arrest or detain him (eg. an activist accosts him and says that they’re making an arrest but his security staff get him away from the activist) or for him to be tried in absentia by a court who cannot enforce any ruling.
If Netanyahu dies without ever having been arrested, detained or tried for these crimes, the market will resolve to NO.
I don’t think that this resolution will be subjective, but just in case some edge case happens and it is subjective, I won’t be trading on this market.
¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Benjamin Netanyahu ever be arrested, detained or face trial for war crimes??
Manifold Markets cotiza No al 87% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Benjamin Netanyahu ever be arrested, detained or face trial for war crimes??
Está previsto que Will Benjamin Netanyahu ever be arrested, detained or face trial for war crimes? se resuelva el 16 de diciembre de 2030.
¿Cómo se liquida Will Benjamin Netanyahu ever be arrested, detained or face trial for war crimes??
Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The International Criminal Court’s chief prosecutor is seeking an arrest warrant for Benjamin Netanyahu.