Will any of the 89 Russian regions leave Russia (Will any region fully separate from Moscow by) ..? - 1250 Mana on YES
GeopolíticaOne-OffRusia / Ucrania
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 4:58 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualBetween 2036 and 2045 18.1%Líder entre 11 opciones
Pronosticadores
20
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado19 dic 25, 4:17 UTC1 dic 50, 2:43 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Will any of the 89 Federal Subjects of Russia de facto leave Moscow's control before June 2026?
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point the named outcome / January 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2035, 2050 any of the 89 Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation permanently or semi-permanently leaves the de facto control of the central government in Moscow.
- The 89 Federal Subjects
- This market encompasses all 89 regions currently claimed by the Russian Federation as defined in its constitution and listed here: Wikipedia: Federal subjects of Russia.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_subjects_of_Russia
- (rus: Субъе́кты Росси́йской Федера́ции (субъекты федерации) - название территориальных единиц верхнего уровня - регионов в Российской Федерации. Согласно Конституции России, Российская Федерация является федеративным государством и состоит из 89 равноправных субъектов)
