Will a Rogue Artificial Intelligence cause at least 1 million deaths before 2050?
GeopolíticaOne-OffIATecnología
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 84.4%
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
23 dic 24, 2:45 UTC1 ene 50, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
Resolution Criteria:
- The Al's actions must be unexpected and not reasonably predictable by its operators.
- Incidents where operators were aware of the risks but ignored them do not count.
- Deaths resulting from human decisions, where Al serves merely as a tool or assistant, are excluded (war, etc).
- The question concerns the total number of deaths caused by Al.
- Multiple deadly incidents from different Al systems will be combined if it occurs within 365 days.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will a Rogue Artificial Intelligence cause at least 1 million deaths before 2050??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 84% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will a Rogue Artificial Intelligence cause at least 1 million deaths before 2050??
- Está previsto que Will a Rogue Artificial Intelligence cause at least 1 million deaths before 2050? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2050.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will a Rogue Artificial Intelligence cause at least 1 million deaths before 2050??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution Criteria: