Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 13:15 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Serhiy Kuznetsov 89.6%Líder entre 15 opciones
Serhiy Kuznetsov 89.6%Pronosticadores
144
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado20 ago 24, 20:30 UTC28 ago 28, 6:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
PolymarketWill Nord Stream 2 open?
KalshiWill Nord Stream resume operations by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine apologize for blowing up Nord stream 2 before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWas a western-aligned party (such as the US or Ukraine) responsible for the Nord Stream attack?
Manifold MarketsWill Nord Stream resume operations by 2026?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Background: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Nord_Stream_pipeline_sabotage
- Multiple answers will be chosen if more than one actor is involved. “Involved” means has knowledge of the event and contributed to the sabotage prior to its happening.
- Resolves when there is a clear actor beyond a reasonable doubt.