Was a western-aligned party (such as the US or Ukraine) responsible for the Nord Stream attack?
GeopolíticaOne-OffAjedrezRusia / UcraniaDeportesEuropa
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 94.7%
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16
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
3 oct 23, 21:40 UTC2 ene 00, 7:59 UTC
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If one or more of the US, Ukraine, or European Union countries were responsible for the recent Nord Stream attack, this question resolves YES.
- If Russia or Belarus was responsible, this question resolves NO.
- If a different nation or a non-state actor was responsible, and in my estimation their motives were aligned with one of the two sides, this question will resolve accordingly.
- This market resolves once we have a definitive answer to this question.
- If we never reach a point where I can safely be that confident either way, it'll remain open indefinitely.
- (The intent of this market is similar to https://manifold.markets/zzq/was-a-westernaligned-party-such-as but without a fixed end date or likelihood of N/A.)
