Which states will report local cases in the May 2026 Ebola Bundibugyo outbreak
Health & MedicineOne-OffGeopolíticaCiencia4dManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualSouth Sudan 67.3%Líder entre 12 opciones
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9
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 11 minutos
19 may 26, 9:4630 jul 26, 23:59
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South Sudan67%
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$1017 jul2d de datos18 jul
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Outbreak currently in DR Congo and Uganda.
- States resolve YES when their health authorities or WHO reports a local case and resolve NO when the outbreak is declared over by WHO / Africa CDC.
- People who are transferred with a suspected or confirmed infection for treatment to another state under medical supervision are excluded (e.g. western states repatriating their infected citizens does not resolve, a person travelling who is already infected but without being already suspected and is diagnosed in their destination does resolve)
- Cases confirmed to be from a different outbreak do not count.
- Some background: https://www.science.org/content/article/scientists-play-catch-startling-ebola-outbreak