Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 76.7%
No 76.7%Pronosticadores
34
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado24 ene 24, 12:31 UTC2 ene 50, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will any pandemic scientist experts besides Fauci go to prison before 2050?
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Manifold MarketsNew pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketPandemic in 2026?
KalshiReglas
Consensus of reliable sources will be used to check if an outbreak qualifies as a pandemic.
- Resolves YES or NO based on the resolution of a market that is similar in principle to Isaac's lab leak market.
- Once a pandemic is declared, I will decide which market this question should be a mirror of.