Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Other 86.3%Líder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores
21
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado18 feb 24, 3:55 UTC1 ene 31, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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PolymarketUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
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KalshiReglas
We’re going by the List of rebellions in the United States on Wikipedia.
- Entries will need to remain up for 14 consecutive days for this to Resolve YES.
- Market will extend as needed.
- Previous entries include:
- Jan 6th, 2021
- CHOP in Seattle [2020]
Mercados abiertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-6.0pt74%
- September 18-6.0pt69%
- September 11-10.0pt61%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 363 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)+0.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt3%
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+3.0pt79.2%
- Yes-3.0pt20.8%
- Volumen total
- 9,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 245,5 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.1pt49.6%
- October 31-1.0pt29.1%
- September 30-1.0pt12%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 resultados más
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 301%
- July 310%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 62,8 M €
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
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- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
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- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When’s the next American rebellion? 🇺🇸🔥👊🔫?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Other al 86% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve When’s the next American rebellion? 🇺🇸🔥👊🔫?
- Está previsto que When’s the next American rebellion? 🇺🇸🔥👊🔫 se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2031.
- ¿Cómo se liquida When’s the next American rebellion? 🇺🇸🔥👊🔫?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: We’re going by the List of rebellions in the United States on Wikipedia.