¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When will Vladimir Putin be assassinated??

Manifold Markets cotiza Later/Never al 90.6% a fecha de 25 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve When will Vladimir Putin be assassinated??

Está previsto que When will Vladimir Putin be assassinated? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2061.

¿Cómo se liquida When will Vladimir Putin be assassinated??

Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Structuring this market to provide maximum incentives for would-be assassins.

Operar en simulación

When will Vladimir Putin be assassinated?

GeopolíticaOne-OffPolítica Crimen y justicia Rusia / Ucrania

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Aviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados

Datos del 25 oct 2026, 23:51 UTC · política pm-quality-4

Pronóstico comunitario actual

Later/Never 90.6%

Líder entre 12 opciones

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Cambio 7d

0.0 pts

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 15 horas

Desactualizado

3 ago 23, 7:18 UTC1 ene 61, 6:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Mercados Relacionados

Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.

Will Putin be assassinated during his presidency?

Manifold Markets

Will Elon Musk be assassinated before 1 January 2030

Manifold Markets

Will any prominent AI researcher be assassinated before EOY 2030

Manifold Markets

Major US politician assassinated in Trump's name (2028)

Manifold Markets

Will Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31?

Polymarket

Will Trump flee to Russia?

Manifold Markets

Reglas

Structuring this market to provide maximum incentives for would-be assassins.

Reportar un problema de datos de este mercado

When will Vladimir Putin be assassinated?

When will Vladimir Putin be assassinated?

Mercados abiertos

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through which date?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Preguntas frecuentes

Usa este mercado en código o en un agente de IA

Mercados abiertos

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through which date?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?