Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Before 2030-01-01 75.4%Líder entre 11 opciones
Before 2030-01-01 75.4%Pronosticadores
199
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado8 jun 24, 21:11 UTC16 ene 27, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsReglas
The full-scale war in Ukraine started on 2022-02-24.
- As of June 2024 there haven’t been any ceasefire agreements covering the whole theater of war.
- This market will resolve positively as soon as a Russian-Ukrainian ceasefire is established, lasting for at least a month and covering the whole territory of Ukraine and Russia.
- Minor confrontations that don’t lead to an escalation do not count as breaking the ceasefire.
- The market is also resolved positively if one of the following happens:
- Ukraine is fully conquered by Russia (or vice vera)