Will Russia publicly commit to an energy-infrastructure ceasefire with Ukraine before Nov 20, 2026?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.GeopolíticaRusia / Ucrania1mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 80.2%
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
23 sept 26, 3:23 UTC20 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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FutuurReglas
Zelenskyy publicly offered a reciprocal energy truce from New York on 2026-09-22: Ukraine stops striking Russian oil-refining facilities if Russia stops striking Ukraine's energy system, critical infrastructure and food exports.
- President Trump then said the two sides had agreed to stop hitting each other's energy infrastructure - but Kyiv's delegation said it had not been informed of any deal, and Russia fired roughly 200 drones at Ukrainian energy and port facilities.
- One party to this supposed agreement has not spoken for itself.
- This market asks whether Russia does.
- Resolves YES if, at any time between market creation and 2026-11-20 23:59 UTC, the Russian government states publicly that Russia has agreed to, or is entering, a halt or moratorium on strikes against Ukrainian energy infrastructure as part of a reciprocal or mutual arrangement.
- The statement must come from President Putin, the Kremlin press secretary, the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, or the Russian Ministry of Defence, and must be reported by Reuters or the Associated Press.
