Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualBefore 2050 71.2%Líder entre 8 opciones
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29
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multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado3 ene 26, 7:09 UTC31 dic 50, 12:59 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?
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FutuurUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketReglas
Resolves based on the date when Wikipedia says the Islamic republic of Iran ends.
- May also resolve if there are substantial internal reforms that do not end the government but transform it substantially away from its current form.
- There must be an entry in the "Formation" section of Iran's Wikipedia page for this to count:
