Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNot before 2027 85%Líder entre 8 opciones
Pronosticadores
37
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado20 sept 23, 20:33 UTC1 ene 28, 12:59 UTC
Tendencias
0.4%
0.2%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsWill China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketReglas
Resolves to the earliest date when EITHER Armenia and Azerbaijan exchange military fire outside of the Nagorno-Karabakh region for a continuous period of two weeks or more, OR if military clashes between Armenia and Azerbaijan outside of Nagorno-Karabakh result in 100 or more cumulative casualties.
Mercados abiertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 22,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 581,3 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 resultados más
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volumen total
- 55,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 96,8 mil €
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- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
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- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When will Armenia and Azerbaijan have a full-scale war??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Not before 2027 al 85% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve When will Armenia and Azerbaijan have a full-scale war??
- Está previsto que When will Armenia and Azerbaijan have a full-scale war? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida When will Armenia and Azerbaijan have a full-scale war??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves to the earliest date when EITHER Armenia and Azerbaijan exchange military fire outside of the Nagorno-Karabakh region for a continuous period of two weeks or more, OR if military clashes between Armenia and Azerbaijan outside of Nagorno-Karabakh result in 100 or more cumulative casualties.