Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualWill take France but ultimately be defeated 68.2%Líder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+0.1 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 horas
Desactualizado18 oct 26, 13:33 UTC10 nov 26, 22:00 UTC
Tendencias
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to the single option that accurately describes the outcome of Matt's 3rd campaign/playthrough as Germany once the game concludes or reaches a decisive end state.
- the named outcome: Resolves YES if Germany fails to capitulate/conquer France primarily due to Callum's Royal Air Force (RAF) interception, air superiority, or defense preventing the invasion.
- the named outcome: Resolves YES if Germany successfully captures or capitulates France, but the Axis/German side is ultimately defeated before winning the game.
- the named outcome: Resolves YES if Matt achieves a recognized victory condition for Germany/the Axis according to the rules of the game being played.
- Draw: Resolves YES if the players mutually agree to a stalemate or the game engine/rules formally designate the match as a draw.