Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualPermanently occupy Gaza like they’re occupying the West Bank 61.2%Líder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
41
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado31 oct 23, 16:20 UTC28 dic 26, 21:59 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
Inspired by Scott:
- https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/mantic-monday-103023
- "I can’t find any markets on the Middle East topic I’m actually interested in, which is Israel’s medium-term plan.
- Will they the named outcome? the named outcome? the named outcome? These all seem like bad options, but they’re very different bad options, and I haven’t seen much speculation about which is most likely."
- Close date may be extended if it seems like the situation hasn't settled down.
- Update 2024-10-12 (PST): The market will resolve as 'Permanently occupy Gaza like they're occupying the West Bank' unless the creator is convinced otherwise.
Mercados abiertos
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- Volumen total
- 22,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 581,3 mil €
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- September 30-12.5pt69%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de What is Israel’s medium-term plan (what will end up happening?)??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Permanently occupy Gaza like they’re occupying the West Bank al 61% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve What is Israel’s medium-term plan (what will end up happening?)??
- Está previsto que What is Israel’s medium-term plan (what will end up happening?)? se resuelva el 28 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida What is Israel’s medium-term plan (what will end up happening?)??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Inspired by Scott: