Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 95.5%
Pronosticadores
10
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado22 oct 25, 19:18 UTC30 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
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PolymarketReglas
Tyler James Robinson, 22, has been charged with aggravated murder for the assassination of conservative activist Charlie Kirk at Utah Valley University on September 10, 2025.
- Utah County prosecutors have announced they will seek the death penalty.
- This market resolves YES if Tyler Robinson receives a death sentence by December 31, 2026.
- It resolves NO if he receives any other sentence (life imprisonment, lesser charges, etc.) or if the case is still pending by that date.
- Resolution Criteria: Based on official court records and sentencing documents from Utah's 4th District Court.
- Sources include Utah Courts case records and major news outlets covering the sentencing.
Mercados abiertos
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+11.5pt65%
- Yes-11.5pt35%
- Volumen total
- 347,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 12,4 mil €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volumen total
- 9,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,8 mil €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026-0.1pt5%
- Volumen total
- 498,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,1 mil €
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- 60++1.5pt38.6%
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- December 31-7.5pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Tyler Robinson sentenced to death by December 31, 2026?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 96% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Tyler Robinson sentenced to death by December 31, 2026?
- Está previsto que Tyler Robinson sentenced to death by December 31, 2026 se resuelva el 30 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Tyler Robinson sentenced to death by December 31, 2026?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Tyler James Robinson, 22, has been charged with aggravated murder for the assassination of conservative activist Charlie Kirk at Utah Valley University on September 10, 2025.