Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Prison for life without possibility of parole 68%Líder entre 7 opciones
Pronosticadores
140
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado16 sept 25, 21:15 UTC16 sept 30, 21:14 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Tyler Robinson Sentence (first result)?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Tyler Robinson be convicted of?
Manifold MarketsWill Tyler Robinson be alive on December 31st, 2026?
Manifold MarketsTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketReglas
Resolves based on a consensus of reliable reports.
- Resolves when he physically begins serving a prison sentence or is executed, not at the initial sentencing announcement.
- If he is acquitted in the first sentencing, I will wait for the appeals.
- If he commits suicide before sentencing, this market will resolve to N/A. If there are options I should add, let me know and I can add them.
Mercados abiertos
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+11.5pt65%
- Yes-11.5pt35%
- Volumen total
- 347,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 12,4 mil €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volumen total
- 9,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,8 mil €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026-0.1pt5%
- Volumen total
- 498,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,1 mil €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.5pt7%
+3 resultados más
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.5pt42.6%
- 60++1.5pt38.6%
- 20–40+1.4pt10.9%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-7.5pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Tyler Robinson Sentence? (Ultimate Result)?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Prison for life without possibility of parole al 68% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Tyler Robinson Sentence? (Ultimate Result)?
- Está previsto que Tyler Robinson Sentence? (Ultimate Result) se resuelva el 16 de septiembre de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Tyler Robinson Sentence? (Ultimate Result)?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves based on a consensus of reliable reports.